In an updated hazardous weather outlook this morning, the National Weather Service warns of potentially strong to severe thunderstorms today and later this week across north and central Georgia. Threats include damaging winds, hail, heavy rain, and lightning.

What is in the statement?

The statement gives the following details:

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north and central Georgia

. .DAY ONE…Today and Tonight… Showers and thunderstorms will advance across far north Georgia this morning, which will be capable of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy rainfall. Another cluster of scattered thunderstorms will be possible in portions of north and east Georgia this afternoon. A few thunderstorms within this cluster could become strong to severe, capable of producing damaging wind gusts and hail, along with frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall

. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…Tuesday through Sunday… A cold front will bring numerous thunderstorms to north and central Georgia from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday as it advances through area. A few storms could be strong to severe, with the greatest likelihood in portions of far northwest Georgia. Severe thunderstorms that occur will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and hail. A brief tornado also cannot be ruled out. Chances for thunderstorms will return to north Georgia on Saturday and Sunday afternoons.

What counties are affected?

The following counties are included in the hazardous weather outlook:

Baldwin, Banks, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Bleckley, Butts, Carroll, Catoosa, Chattahoochee, Chattooga, Cherokee, Clarke, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta, Crawford, Crisp, Dade, Dawson, DeKalb, Dodge, Dooly, Douglas, Emanuel, Fannin, Fayette, Floyd, Forsyth, Gilmer, Glascock, Gordon, Greene, Gwinnett, Hall, Hancock, Haralson, Harris, Heard, Henry, Houston, Jackson, Jasper, Jefferson, Johnson, Jones, Lamar, Laurens, Lumpkin, Macon, Madison, Marion, Meriwether, Monroe, Montgomery, Morgan, Murray, Muscogee, Newton, North Fulton, Oconee, Oglethorpe, Paulding, Peach, Pickens, Pike, Polk, Pulaski, Putnam, Rockdale, Schley, South Fulton, Spalding, Stewart, Sumter, Talbot, Taliaferro, Taylor, Telfair, Toombs, Towns, Treutlen, Troup, Twiggs, Union, Upson, Walker, Walton, Warren, Washington, Webster, Wheeler, White, Whitfield, Wilcox, Wilkes, Wilkinson

What is meant by “isolated” and “scattered”?

The NWS defines “isolated” as follows:

A National Weather Service convective precipitation descriptor for a 10 percent chance of measurable precipitation (0.01 inch). Isolated is used interchangeably with few.

“Scattered” has the following definition:

When used to describe precipitation (for example: “scattered showers”) – Area coverage of convective weather affecting 30 percent to 50 percent of a forecast zone (s).

Isolated thunderstorms and scattered thunderstorms are two terms used to describe different distributions of thunderstorm activity within a particular area. The main difference lies in the extent of coverage and how the thunderstorms are spatially distributed:

1. Isolated Thunderstorms:
   • Isolated thunderstorms are relatively rare occurrences that happen sporadically and are generally confined to a limited area.
   • These thunderstorms are often characterized by being few and far between, with significant gaps between individual storm cells.
   • Typically, isolated thunderstorms cover less than 20% of the forecast area.
   • Despite their isolated nature, these storms can still be intense and may produce heavy rain, lightning, gusty winds, and possibly hail.
2. Scattered Thunderstorms:
   • Scattered thunderstorms are more widespread than isolated thunderstorms and cover a larger portion of the forecast area.
   • In a scattered thunderstorm scenario, numerous individual thunderstorms develop, but they are not continuous or widespread enough to be classified as a “line” or “cluster” of storms.
   • Scattered thunderstorms generally cover between 30% to 50% of the forecast area.
   • Although scattered thunderstorms are more widespread, they still leave considerable gaps between storm cells, and not everyone within the forecast area will necessarily experience a thunderstorm.

In summary, isolated thunderstorms are fewer in number and more localized, covering a smaller area with significant gaps between storms, while scattered thunderstorms are more widespread, covering a larger area with numerous individual storms occurring somewhat randomly across the forecast area.

About the National Weather Service

The National Weather Service (NWS) is a part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

The NWS describes its role as follows:

“The National Weather Service (NWS) provides weather, water, and climate forecasts and warnings for the United States, its territories, adjacent waters and ocean areas, for the protection of life and property and the enhancement of the national economy. 

“These services include Forecasts and Observations, Warnings, Impact-based Decision Support Services, and Education in an effort to build a Weather-Ready Nation. The ultimate goal is to have a society that is prepared for and responds to weather, water and climate events.”